The Moving Averages tool, explained

Timeframes

3

Daily · Weekly · Monthly

Averages tracked

18

8 daily · 6 weekly · 4 monthly

Key cross

50 × 200

day averages, Golden/Death Cross

Asset

BTC

no coin picker

A dashboard built around one question, asked at three different zoom levels: is Bitcoin's price above or below the trend lines that traders actually watch? Switch between Daily, Weekly (the default) and Monthly and the tool swaps in a different set of moving averages built for that horizon — short-term timing on Daily, trend confirmation on Weekly, cycle positioning on Monthly.

It is a live chart of Bitcoin's price with each timeframe's moving averages drawn over it, a Bull Score, a distance-from-key-average gauge, and — on the Daily view — Golden/Death Cross state. It is free; a free account is all you need.

A moving average is nothing exotic — it's the average closing price over a fixed stretch of days, weeks or months, recalculated as each new day, week or month closes. What makes it useful isn't the math; it's that enough traders watch the same handful of periods (20, 50, 100, 200) that their buying and selling clusters around those exact levels. Price tends to slow down, bounce, or reverse near a widely-watched MA not because the average itself has some physical force, but because a large share of the market treats it as a decision point.

That's the whole mechanism: self-reinforcing attention, not prediction. The line only matters because people act as though it matters.

On the Weekly view, two of the six tracked averages get special billing: the 20-week SMA — a plain average of the last twenty weekly closes — and the 21-week EMA, the same idea over twenty-one weeks but weighted toward the most recent ones. The two are tracked together as the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB). Through Bitcoin's past bull markets, this pair has repeatedly acted as a floor — price dipped toward it, held, and continued higher. The reason two lines instead of one is resilience: a single average can be pierced on a bad week, but for the band to genuinely break, both a simple and an exponential average — which weight recent data differently — need to fail at once.

The rest of the Weekly set (50W, 100W, 150W) reads as intermediate support tiers below the band, and 200W SMA is the timeframe's key MA — labelled the “Floor” because Bitcoin has historically never closed a week meaningfully below it for long. The tool tracks price's percentage distance from that key MA on its own gauge, so you can see how stretched — above or below — the market currently is, not just which side of the line it's on.

On the Daily view, the tool watches one specific relationship: the 50-day SMA against the 200-day SMA. When the 50-day crosses above the 200-day, that's a Golden Cross — a shift toward a bullish regime. When it crosses back below, that's a Death Cross — a shift toward a bearish one. The tool also tracks the continuous spread between the two as a percentage, so you can see the cross building before it actually happens rather than only after.

Unlike the Pi Cycle Top, which has only fired three times in Bitcoin's entire history, the 50/200 cross is a recurring, ordinary trend-following signal — it happens multiple times per cycle, including false starts during choppy, range-bound stretches. It is not a rare, high-conviction event; it's a standard, frequently-cited regime marker that lags price by construction, since both lines are built from data that has already happened.

Each timeframe's Bull Score is a simple count: how many of that view's moving averages is price currently trading above, shown as a percentage. Above all of them reads 100%; below all of them reads 0%. It's a blunt instrument — no weighting, no smoothing — a fast visual read of trend alignment across whichever timeframe you're looking at.

Daily is a microscope, Weekly is reading glasses, Monthly is a telescope.

Every chart on the tool — like nearly every chart across the site — carries a full drawing toolbar: trend lines, rays, horizontal and vertical lines, rectangles and channels, ten Fibonacci tools, Elliott Wave and harmonic pattern tools (head & shoulders, XABCD, Gann), text annotations and more. It's the same toolbar you get on the other charts across the site.

What you draw saves automatically, but only in this browser, on this chart, for this coin. It survives a page refresh, but it does not follow you to another device or browser, and it is not saved to your account — clearing your browser data or switching machines starts you with a blank chart again.

Four things worth knowing before you lean on any reading from the tool.

This is a trend tool, not a valuation or on-chain one. It tells you nothing about whether Bitcoin is cheap relative to its history, what miners are doing, or how long-term holders are behaving — for that, see the valuation and on-chain indicators elsewhere in the knowledge base. What it does well is answer one narrow, useful question fast: relative to the trend lines the market actually watches, where does price stand right now — and at which of three horizons?

Others in price & cycle models — What price is doing relative to its own history, trend and long-run models.

• Pi Cycle TopTwo moving averages — the 111-day and the doubled 350-day — whose crossing has landed within days of three Bitcoin cycle peaks.
• Pi Cycle BottomThe Pi Cycle Top upside down: two average-price lines used to spot the bottom of a cycle rather than the top.
• Log Regression BandPrice against a long-run trend line drawn through each coin’s whole history, split into six value zones.
• Rainbow ChartThe same long-run trend line drawn as nine coloured bands, from deep value to bubble territory.
• Golden Ratio MultiplierPrice against multiples of the 350-day moving average, a ladder that has caught intermediate cycle highs.

Every indicator we track — the full glossary.